This article has taken a while to write, the disappointment in our current government is immense.
Well, Labour won. I’m not happy to say the least, and I believe neither are a lot of people. I think they were the “anybody but the Conservatives” vote - and as expected, quite often this doesn’t map out well.
A statement most can agree with: Taxation if theft. The statement is essentially “we can spend your money better than you can”. One can argue that it is a necessary evil for operating a cohesive society capable of protecting its common interests, domestically and abroad.
That said, it should be as minimal as possible. The state can we extremely wasteful, and in the UK we saw a failed NHS upgrade project cost £10 billion, with nothing to show for it. These kinds of failures happen extremely regularly. Worse still, many projects are simply extremely mismanaged, with public infrastructure upgrade/maintenance often running over time and budget.
During the election campaign, Labour was unable to explain where it would be raising money through taxes to pay for their wonderful plans. They had access to all of the numbers, and yet completely failed to explain how they would tackle issues.
Labour have shouted that they discovered £22 billion in unfunded spending, yet the numbers were always available to them. This is on top of their pledges to spend more in social schemes, despite the UK being financially crippled.
How do Labour plan to meet their tax gap?
They plan to increase capital gains tax, which has been critical in offsetting high risk investment. If you were to fund 10 start-ups for example, you may expect 90% failure. That 10% success accounts for the failure, and adds enough profit to allow for future investment. Labour want to reduce these margins, where high risk investments become less favourable.
They plan to cripple pensioners, typically well looked after by the Conservatives, by limiting winter fuel payments - a large cost since the Ukraine-Russia war. They will likely break the so-called triple-lock, but this has been broken for quite a while with inflation and cost-of-living issues anyway. Due to COVID, quite a few people started their retirement earlier and there is quite a gap to fill, not including the massive reduction in economic output during this time.
They plan to ban zero-hour contracts, which have been quite a valuable tool. Likely part of the motivation will be to reduce unemployment figures - but this will likely backfire. I understand that lawyers are working on this problem as I type, as this affects a significant number of industries. They will likely be looking to find a gap in part-time contracts.
They plan to close tax avoidance loop-holes, which on the surface looks good - but this is likely just a shifting of who they are available to. Both parties for example were scrambling for support from property developers, and Labour has promised to build 1.5 million homes in 5 years - an insane target that cannot be reached. They have also ensured they won’t be built in their favourite areas such as London.
They plan to tax private schools more heavily, which will likely heavily burden state schools which are under extreme pressure, like all public infrastructure/resources. I will discuss this later. Apparently one work-around for now will be to offset infrastructure development of private schools against tax, but this will be closed up and they can’t do this forever.
Thy plan to increase inheritance tax, which was one of the last ways that the middle-class could allow their children to get onto the property ladder. Your wealth is taxed multiple times as you earn it, and again when you die. The clever people, typically upper-class, will ensure that large assets are “off their estate” a reasonable amount of time before dying, such that the tax-man cannot get at it. Increasing inheritance tax will be a raid on the middle-class.
They plan to increase council tax, which is already an insane position given large service cuts, due to local government debt. We will likely see several more councils go bankrupt within the next few years. I know that my local government is a ticking time-bomb, with reduced spending an increased debt. It is soon becoming the situation where they will start reducing staff members, and at some point they will struggle to justify a council tax at all.
The Labour government will allow 100,000+ immigrants that illegally entered into the UK to claim for asylum, and it will be granted. They intend to scatter these people across the Country, with local council tax being increased to pay for it. The government will force councils to provide homes for these people, when there are already very long waiting lists, 2,000+ long in my area. Labour are accused of putting illegal migrants ahead of British citizens, which fundamentally true.
I have many issues with this:
I suspect that given the recent riots, and how they suddenly stopped without any form of serious address, we will likely see more civil disobedience. The root issues are still there. The current prime minister, Keir Starmer, did nothing to address what are extremely valid concerns about public safety.
This is by no means extensive, but is so far playing out as predicted. I think we should be keeping a close eye on the Prime Minister Keir Starmer, as there are some very dictator-esque attributes to the man.
The next 5 years will be nothing, if but interesting. Hopefully my concerns are completely unfounded.